The 2015 Oscar Nominations are out, and even though a legion of fans (myself included) now want to boycott the ceremony due to the omission of The Lego Movie from the Animated Feature category, I’m going to put on a brave face and have a go at predicting this years winners. I’m going to be discussing the six major categories, and then a few of the smaller ones briefly at the end. Around a month ago, well before the nominations had come out, I tried predicting the winners, and while a lot of them have stayed the same, there are a few big changes.
I originally picked Birdman to win this one, but despite how I personally feel about Boyhood, I’m starting to feel like it’s an unstoppable monster. It’s already picked up more awards than a large-handed awards thief, and it’s only gaining momentum. This has to be respected, especially when you consider that it was a summer release, meaning it came out alongside this years blockbusters, and not during what’s considered to be awards season. As with my original predictions, I’m going to keep my first and second choice, only they’re swapping places, so if Boyhood doesn’t win, I think it’s going to be Birdman.
Actor in a Leading Role
Michael Keaton – Birdman
No change here, my first and second picks stay the same. Keaton is generally thought of as the hot favourite, and I’m not going to disagree, but Eddie Redmayne does have an outside chance of taking it for The Theory of Everything. Having finally seen Foxcatcher I can say that Steve Carell definitely deserves some recognition, however I would have put him in the supporting category. He won’t win either, but he’s my personal favourite of the nominees.
Actress in a Leading Role
Julianne Moore – Still Alice
Once again, nothing’s changed here. As with Michael Keaton, Julianne Moore is generally thought of as the top pick, and as with Eddie Redmayne, Felicity Jones is thought of as the outside chance, also for The Theory of Everything. Rosamund Pike is still my personal choice for her performance in Gone Girl, although I do have to mention the fact that I’m yet to see two of the nominated films in this category (Two Days, One Night, for which Marion Cotillard is nominated, and my top pick Still Alice).
Actor in a Supporting Role
J.K. Simmons – Whiplash
The nominees in this category surprised me. I didn’t expect to see Mark Ruffalo or Robert Duvall nominated for Foxcatcher and the The Judge Respectively. Not that they don’t deserve it, both of them were excellent in their roles, it’s just a surprise. However, none of this matter because J.K. Simmons has this one in the bag. This is the prediction I feel most confident about (cue me looking very silly). Ethan Hawke has a teeny tiny chance, but all I really want to see is J.K. Simmons giving an angry, energetic speech, in character.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Patricia Arquette – Boyhood
This is the biggest change on my list. Originally I had Keira Knightley as my top pick (what was I thinking?), but she, along with The Imitation Game in general doesn’t have a lot of traction. Which film does? Boyhood. Once again I’m putting aside my personal feelings for the film, and the fact that I thought she didn’t stand out at all, and picking the performance I think most Academy voters will go for. You can see just by looking at the nominations that this is the weakest category of the year, and with nobody standing out, it’s much harder to predict. Emma Stone could provide an upset for her performance in Birdman, but even with two choices I’m not confident I’ve got it right.
Richard Linklater – Boyhood
No change here from my previous predictions, as Linklater is still my first pick, with Alejandro G. Iñárritu my second pick for Birdman. Much like Best Picture I feel like this is a two-horse race, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see either of these choices win.
As I did in my previous predictions list, I went on to talk about a few of the smaller categories. I won’t be discussing all of them, as I simply haven’t seen a lot of the nominees for some of the more obscure categories (sorry Documentary Short Feature).
How to Train you Dragon 2
Boy was I wrong. Where the hell is The Lego Movie?!?!?!? Leaving that master piece (HA!) out is a mystery to all of us, but the people over at DreamWorks are probably already celebrating. Big Hero 6 has a chance but when it comes down to it, it’s still a superhero film, and Academy no-likey.
Music – Original Score
Jóhan Jóhansson – The Theory of Everything
Wrong again! I really thought the originality of Antonio Sanchez’s score in Birdman would get some recognition, but it wasn’t even nominated! With him out of the picture, I think the Academy will want to share the love, and with The Theory of Everything unlikely to win anywhere else, I can see it picking up a consolation prize here.
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
APES TOGETHER STRONG.
I could go on and say how good the hair and costumes were in Into the Woods, but as a general rule, nobody wants me to talk about that.
So, what do you think I’ve got right? What do you think I’ve got wrong? What happened to The Lego Movie? Leave any suggestions you might have in the comments below.
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