Every now and then, two members of the Third Act writing team have a slight disagreement, and as we all know, there’s no way we can respect each other’s opinions. In Third Act Bets, we take two sides of an argument, and ask who you think is right. This time…
Which film will make more money worldwide, The Avengers: Age of Ultron or Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens?
Fighting for The Avengers – Todd James
Fighting for Star Wars – James Forbes
The Bet – A burger, fries, and a milkshake
Streaking naked in front of a school shouting ‘FREE CANDY’. Having to watch the film Plastic from beginning to end.
The Avengers will make more because…
The first Avengers is the third biggest film of all time, and has a worldwide gross of more than $1.5 billion. It’s very possible that Age of Ultron won’t make quite as much as the first Avengers, but it’s still going to make a pile as big and green as The Hulk. The key to this film’s success is momentum. For more committed film goers this is a sequel to two very well received films from last year, Captain America: The Winter Soldier and Guardians of the Galaxy. For more casual film goers, this is the sequel to an even more well received film, The Avengers.
Star Wars on the other hand is coming off three almost universally panned films, Episode I, II and III. On top of that, it’s going to be a little over ten years since the last film in the franchise, which might actually be a good thing. Yes, the classic and legendary status of the original Star Wars trilogy will help people look past the more recent instalments, but I think there are lots of people who just don’t trust the brand anymore.
The only way a film can get to the dizzy heights of $1 billion or more is to have repeat viewings. Don’t get me wrong, there are people who are going to see Episode VII multiple times, but nowhere near as many that will see Age of Ultron more than once. People will go on opening weekend, and be desperate to see it again. Then they’ll watch videos online to see if they missed any Easter eggs. There’s a pilot who has the name badge ‘Danvers’? Better see the film again. There’s a building with the Pym Industries logo on it? time to head back to the cinema! There’s a third post credit scene where Thanos is eating shawarma with Red Skull? TAKE MY MONEY NOW. Star Wars is working toward building a cinematic universe, but Marvel is already there. Will Episode VIII make more money than Infinity War? As long as The force Awakens is well received, it probably will. Is Episode VII going to make more than Age of Ultron? I don’t think so.
Star Wars will make more because…
The Star Wars prequels were bad. We all know this. Yet, the highest grossing Star Wars film is the first of the prequels, The Phantom Menace, which made $474,544,677 at the global box office. The highest grossing opening weekend in the saga was the last of the prequels, making $108,435,841. We all knew they were bad, yet we all still went! The Star Wars franchise can still making a killing releasing bad films! What will happen when we get a half-decent redemption?
Disney now own Star Wars and LucasArts. And just like they’ve done with the Marvel universe, they’re going to do with the Star Wars world. We’re getting multiple spinoff films and a Star Wars film a year. Disney know how to create an expansive movie universes and they have learnt from any mistakes or shortfalls they made with their Marvel product. This time round they already have a head-start due to Star Wars previous successes. Disney wouldn’t spend $4.05 billion to purchase LucasArts if they didn’t see the potential it had.
J.J.-Frickin’-Abrams is on-board. All he has to do is a film that is half as good as Star Trek and people will pronounce him a saviour. The J.J. Abrams Star Trek was the highest grossing Star Trek film to date making $385,680,446 in the worldwide box office.
This film is cross-generational unlike any other product. You have the kids from late 70s and 80s who grew up with the originals who will be turning up for this new instalment, the generation who went to see the prequels and now a new generation getting a chance to jump in.
Combining the fans, the powerhouse that is Disney and J.J.-Frickin’-Abrams you have instant success. Yes, The Avengers did incredibly well. Will it be able to replicate that for a second time? Isn’t it just another Superhero film in an already saturated market? This is the Star Wars franchise, a bloody religion to a lot of people and a true contender for reaching the top 5 highest grossing films of all time.
So who do you agree with? Which film do you think will make more money? Let us know your thoughts in the comments.
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